Dr. Paul Schmidt, Dipl. Stat.
Freelance Biostatistician
As a PhD statistician with over 15 years of practical experience, I help pharmaceutical companies navigate the unique requirements of the German healthcare market. From benefit assessment dossiers to indirect treatment comparisons – I provide the statistical expertise you need to successfully launch your products in Germany.
Germany has a unique market access system that differs significantly from other countries. Within one year of EMA approval, pharmaceutical companies must submit a comprehensive benefit assessment dossier to demonstrate the added therapeutic benefit of their product compared to the appropriate comparator therapy defined by the G-BA (Federal Joint Committee).
Mandatory ProcessThe AMNOG benefit assessment is not optional. It directly determines the reimbursement price negotiations with the GKV-SV (National Association of Statutory Health Insurance Funds).
Strict MethodologyThe IQWiG (Institute for Quality and Efficiency in Health Care) applies rigorous methodological standards that often differ from FDA or EMA expectations.
German-Language DossierThe entire dossier (Modules 1-5) must be submitted in German, following a highly specific structure and format.
Comparator ChallengesYour clinical trials may not have used the comparator therapy required by the G-BA – indirect comparisons become essential.
Dr. rer. nat. Paul Schmidt, Dipl-Stat.
With a diploma and a doctorate in statistics, I have one of the highest theoretical qualifications available in this field. This solid academic foundation, combined with over 15 years of hands-on consulting experience, enables me to handle even the most complex statistical challenges with confidence and precision.
I understand that international pharmaceutical companies face unique challenges when entering the German market. The AMNOG process, the role of the G-BA and IQWiG, the concept of Zusatznutzen (added benefit) – these are unfamiliar territory for many. I bridge this gap by providing clear, actionable guidance while ensuring that all statistical analyses meet the rigorous standards expected by German authorities.
As a full-time freelance consultant, I am fully dedicated to my clients' success. Your market access is my priority. This commitment drives me to deliver reliable, high-quality work on every project.
I understand the challenges that international pharmaceutical companies – particularly those from China, the US, and other non-European markets – face when entering Germany:
I work seamlessly with your global teams, providing statistical expertise while communicating clearly in English. Whether you're a large pharmaceutical company expanding into Europe or a biotech with your first EU approval, I can help you navigate the German market access landscape.
From early statistical planning through dossier submission and the oral hearing – the German benefit assessment process can take many months. Having an experienced statistical partner by your side throughout this journey is essential for success.
Preparing the analytical foundation before your dossier timeline begins.
The statistical groundwork for a successful benefit assessment should ideally begin long before your EMA approval. Once the dossier clock starts ticking, time becomes scarce. Having a clear analytical strategy in place gives you a significant advantage.
I help you assess the statistical feasibility of your benefit assessment from an early stage. This includes evaluating whether your trial data will allow for meaningful subgroup analyses with sufficient precision, and whether indirect comparisons are feasible given the available comparator evidence. If individual patient data can be leveraged for population-adjusted methods, I advise on necessary preparations.
Investing in strategic statistical planning reduces the risk of unpleasant surprises during dossier preparation and positions your submission for the strongest possible outcome.
The statistical heart of your benefit assessment.
Module 4 of the AMNOG dossier contains the detailed medical benefit assessment and is scrutinized intensively by the IQWiG. The statistical analyses presented here determine whether your product receives an added benefit rating – and at what level.
I support you with the complete statistical analysis of your clinical study data according to IQWiG methodological standards. This includes derivation of appropriate effect estimates, confidence intervals, and assessment of both statistical significance and clinical relevance. I implement suitable strategies for handling missing data, conduct sensitivity analyses, and perform subgroup analyses in the format expected by the authorities.
Translating statistical effects into patient-relevant benefits.
The IQWiG places strong emphasis on patient-relevant outcomes and the clinical meaningfulness of observed effects. For continuous endpoints such as symptom scores or quality of life measures, demonstrating statistical significance alone is not sufficient.
I conduct responder analyses based on validated response thresholds and assess whether the magnitude of effect meets the relevance criteria that IQWiG applies when judging the extent of added benefit. This careful translation from statistical results to clinical meaning is often decisive for the outcome of your assessment.
Rigorous planning for defensible results.
A well-structured statistical analysis plan is the foundation of any successful benefit assessment. I develop comprehensive plans that specify all analyses in advance: efficacy analyses, safety analyses, subgroup analyses, sensitivity analyses, and methods for handling missing data.
For indirect comparisons, I prepare detailed specifications covering the methodological approach and planned sensitivity analyses. Having these documented before the analysis protects against concerns about data-driven decisions and strengthens the credibility of your submission.
Expert review before submission.
Sometimes you need an independent statistical expert to review your work before it goes to the authorities. I provide critical assessment of draft Module 4 sections, statistical analysis plans, indirect comparison reports, and clinical study reports.
My review focuses on methodological rigor, consistency with IQWiG expectations, and identification of potential weaknesses. I provide concrete recommendations and help you anticipate critical questions before they arise.
Statistical expertise when it matters most.
After the IQWiG publishes its preliminary assessment, you have the opportunity to respond with a written statement and participate in an oral hearing before the G-BA. These are critical moments where statistical arguments can make the difference.
I support you in preparing the statistical sections of your written response – addressing methodological criticism, providing additional analyses, and formulating clear counterarguments. I also participate directly in oral hearings as your statistical expert, presenting and defending the methodology of your analyses in front of the G-BA committee.
The value of an independent perspective, even when you work with a CRO.
Many pharmaceutical companies partner with Contract Research Organizations for their benefit assessment dossiers. However, there is significant value in complementing this with independent statistical expertise.
As a freelance biostatistician, I offer a perspective that is solely focused on methodological rigor. I have no organizational incentive to minimize scope or avoid difficult statistical questions. This independence is particularly valuable for identifying methodological vulnerabilities before they surface during the IQWiG assessment, for quality assurance of statistical outputs produced by your CRO, and for providing specialized expertise in areas such as indirect comparisons.
I work collaboratively with CROs rather than in competition. Whether as a reviewer, an advisor, or a hands-on analyst for specific components, I integrate flexibly into your existing team structure.
Contact me for a free initial consultation.
Whether you're planning ahead or facing an imminent dossier deadline, reach out and let's discuss how I can support your German market access strategy.